Three Keys and a Pick: Iowa at Seton Hall

Three Keys and a Pick: Iowa at Seton Hall



Iowa basketball will play its first true road test on Wednesday, Nov. 16 as the Hawkeyes travel to New Jersey to take on Seton Hall at the Prudential Center as part of the 2022 Gavitt Games.

Both teams come into this contest with 2-0 records, with Iowa beating Bethune-Cookman and North Carolina A&T by 30+ points each, while the Pirates beat St. Peter’s and Monmouth by similar margins.

Here is more info on this contest.

Date: Wednesday, Nov. 16

Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT

Channel: Fox Sports 1 (FS1) – Tim Brando and Donny Marshall

Radio: Hawkeye Radio Network

Projected Starters

Iowa

Tony Perkins – Jr.

Payton Sandfort – So.

Patrick McCaffery – Rs. Jr.

Kris Murray – Jr.

Filip Rebraca – Fifth-year sr.

Seton Hall

Jamir Harris – Sr. – Harris is averaging 6.5 points, two rebounds, and two assists per game in the first two contests for Seton Hall. Harris is not much of a threat to score the basketball consistently, but does have one of the higher steal rates on the team and can be a pest defensively.

Kadary Richmond – Jr. – Richmond is one of the leading returning players for Seton Hall this year. Richmond is averaging 7.5 points, 2.5 rebounds, and two assists per game for the Pirates. He wants to get to the basket and draw fouls.

Femi Odukale – Jr. – Odukale is a physical guard/wing for Seton Hall with 6-foot-6, 205-pound frame. He can play out on the perimeter while also bruise downlow.

KC Ndefo – Sr. – Ndefo, a St. Peter’s transfer, was named the Defensive Player of the Year last season in college basketball. Ndefo is averaging four points and seven rebounds in the early going for the Pirates with one block per game. He has averaged 2.8 blocks or more twice in his career. He is listed at 6-foot-7.

Tyrese Samuel – Sr. – Samuel is averaging 11.5 points and four rebounds through two games for the Pirates. He is active on the glass, a strong shot blocker, and will also look to draw fouls.

Other names to note: Clemson transfer Al Amir Dawes is tied for the team lead in scoring this year at 11.5. Tray Jackson, Dr. Davisand Tae Davis are three other players that can come off the bench and put the ball in the basket for the Pirates. Four of Seton Hall’s top-five scorers have mainly come off the bench this year, but they have also played more minutes than the starters.

Three things I’m looking for

1. How Iowa handles Seton Hall’s pressure: The Pirates are coached by former St. Peter’s head coach Shaheen Holloway. If you are familiar with Holloway’s coaching style, he likes it when his team’s play defense, and when they get up in the face of their opponents with full court pressure. Seton Hall is 9th nationally in effective turnover percentage on defense this year through two games and will look to create full-court pressure with the speed and athleticism they have on the roster. Seton Hall forced Monmouth to turn the ball over 23 times in the season opener and forced St. Peter’s into 20 turnovers. Iowa has been one of the better teams in the past few years with taking care of the basketball, but it’ll be interesting how that dynamic works against a team like Seton Hall since the Hawkeyes don’t have a true point guard starting. Tony Perkins plays the one for Iowa and seems to be fit there, but he’s not known as a true point guard. This will also be one of the first games where Ahron Ulis and Dasonte Bowen are the primary ball handlers. If Iowa can take care of the basketball and maximize possessions, then it should be in good shape. This will be a good test for Perkins at the point.

2. Can Iowa force Seton Hall into mistakes: While Seton Hall likes to speed up his opponents, the Pirates are also prone to making mistakes with the basketball. Seton Hall is ranked 323rd in the country in effective turnover percentage on offense, one of the worst numbers in college basketball. Iowa has not been known for forcing opponents into mistakes with its defensive play, but the Hawkeyes do have a quicker, more athletic, and more long lineup as opposed to years past, so that could work in favor of the Hawkeyes when trying to force Seton Hall into uncomfortable positions and speed the game up at a rapid pace.

3. Winning the battle on the boards: Seton Hall has been vulnerable on the glass this year, especially on defense. According to KenPom, the Pirates are 269th in defensive rebounding rate, and have allowed 15.5 offensive rebounds per game against opponents that are noticeably smaller than the Pirates. Iowa has been better on the defensive boards this year than Seton Hall, but still is ranked 142nd nationally, and Iowa struggled with keeping opponents off the glass last year. Taking care of the basketball may be the decider, but the rebounding battle will also be important.

Prediction

Iowa 70, Seton Hall 67

This will be a hostile environment inside the Prudential Center, and there are a lot of factors that can force Iowa into mistakes. Iowa can’t afford to go into scoring droughts and must take care of the basketball to win in New Jersey.

I think it does just enough to pull out the victory.

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